I was watching the Communism Channel, and the comedians said "If you are concerned about inflation, you should buy Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS)!"
A TIPS bond contains an adjustment, based on CPI-inflation. The interest paid increases at the rate of CPI-inflation. Similarly, the principal due at maturity increases.
The problem is that the CPI is a biased measure of inflation. It severely understates the true inflation rate.
Further, the expected return on a TIPS bond is *EXACTLY THE SAME* as the expected return on a regular Treasury bond. If the expected yield were different, then traders at a bank or hedge fund would buy one and short sell the other!
Investing in a TIPS bond, you have the illusion of protection from inflation, while the State steals your savings.
Sunday, July 5, 2009
The Fallacy of Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS)
Posted by FSK at 12:00 PM
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